Monday, January 29, 2007

Self Help For Intelligent Business Owners

We believe at ‘What You Focus On Grows’ that we are all born rich and successful and it is through changing small perceptions in what we focus on in our businesses that we all see this truth as well. It is the mission of ‘What You Focus On Grows’ to give you the straight goods, information, tips and tools to help you to become the true success you were born into.

This site will make you aware of how you create your own reality and how to become conscious of the beliefs and choices you make to create your present life situations. Through consciousness and awareness you can have the unlimited power to create the life of your dreams and it can start right now. All that it takes is for you to be the person you want to be and to start to focus on the thoughts that will bring you what you truly want in life.

We believe that you as a business person, with the right mindset and information you find on this site will at a very minimum double your net profits and work less by at least 25%. We want you, the intelligent business person and we know you are because you are reading this information to be in the top 1% of successful businesses and we want to help you get and stay there.

It sounds simple doesn’t it? Well it is and with a small change in perspective you can have life changing miraculous results. ‘What You Focus On Grows’ and what thoughts you focus on will determine what you manifest in your life.

Being an entrepreneur today has never been more exciting or profitable. Many have created great lives of passion and prosperity through entrepreneurship and it continues to grow in popularity with many from all walks of life joining its ranks. Although intelligence is not a prerequisite for success as an entrepreneur you will find that the self help movement has helped many people point themselves in the right direction and fast.

One of the pivotal reasons for this site is to help as many people as possible realize their dreams as an entrepreneur. I know from several decades of experience that it is not necessarily the business system although it is important, but rather the mindset of the business person that will determine success or failure.

I have seen for example two sales people that will deliver the same words of a sales presentation and yet one will do extremely well and the other will falter. I have seen some technicians that were technically the best at what they do and yet fail to attract new customers. I have also seen the other side of this phenomenon where a very unskilled technician will build a large following of customers and become wildly successful.

Why such a difference in outcomes for each entrepreneur although they may be saying the same things?

It is the all important mindset that will always determine how well you will do in any business.

Here is the best news we can all ever get. You can change your mindset to that of a winning formula instantaneously. You only have to be open to new information that will change our success destiny. We can’t make you change but we can give you the support and self help information that will bring you unparallel success, wealth and abundance.

Remember you don’t see the world as it is but rather see the world as you are. If you like what you see congratulations but if you want more success, more wealth and more fun we have the thoughts and information you will want to focus on.

Topics that are discussed on this site are the topics you probably won’t see any where else, especially the business and entrepreneur sites and they include.

1. Passion: How passion can take the word work out of your vocabulary
2. Integrity: How doing it right is easier and more profitable
3. Action: Show you how action is a natural byproduct that cannot be avoided with the right mindset.
4. Prosperity/Abundance: You are born ‘Rich and Successful’ and we show you how to stop resisting this truth.
5. Opportunities: How to see problems for the true blessings they really are.
6. Time Management: How time management is an illusion and how you can eliminate its grip on your life
7. Enlightenment: What it is and how you are already on its path by reading this very information.
8. Intention: We can show you some of the most powerful marketing concepts and it won’t cost a dime

You’re well on your way.

Click Here to bookmark this site and start your business day with the right business focus. At ‘What You Focus On Grows’ we, as a self help site for intelligent business people want to make sure you are focused on the information that will make you successful.

If you come to our site regularly and focus on information that will bring you business success then the only natural outcome will be your success and we couldn’t be happier if we have been a part of that process.

There are no accidents in this world. Everything you have today started with a thought whether wanted or unwanted. It is no accident you are at this site in fact it is verification that you are well on your way to great success, wealth and abundance. Let us show you how successful you are by coming back to this site and helping us help you to see the world in a whole new way.

Since we are all the sum total of our thoughts or said another way is that what ever we think about we bring about it is the magic of this site to align what we think about with what we truly want for our lives. Our site is naturally named ‘What You Focus On Grows’ and we are focused on giving you the best leading edge information for your success.

Everything you see in the material world was once a thought. Your house, car, furniture or what ever did not just pop out of thin air into existence, or did it? You see someone thought about your car, house or furniture first and then it was brought into existence by focusing on the thoughts and taking action. This is how the universe works.

Thoughts become things, this is a universal law. Most people are unconscious to this and react rather than create and end up becoming victims rather than victors. Very few people are aware of this law that ‘Thoughts Become Things”. Even less people apply this powerful law to their businesses. If you are already aware of this truth then let us build on it but if not we will be able to show you how to create the most miraculous incredible life that you can imagine.

We are all born rich beyond our wildest dreams but most are just not aware of it. It is the mission of ‘What You Focus On Grows’ to wake up as many business people as possible to become aware of just how miraculous they really are.

We are going to jolt you, kick start you, help you to help yourself to realize that you already are the successful miracle you were put on this earth to be. It’s easy its fun and once you are truly aware of ‘What You Focus On Grows’ you will find it is right now and always has been.

Return often and stay in touch because we are business people as well. We operate a real brick and mortar, trucks, employees etc. everyday successful business using the information you will get on this website. We are not the usual coach/mentor/consultant that has never run a business that will give you half baked theories they have never tried in the real world.

Here’s The Icing On The Cake.

It’s FREE
That’s right this information is FREE

It is our way of paying back the business community we are so grateful to be a part of. We want massive success for you and we are committed. We will bring you new leading edge business information on a regular basis to make you aware and help you attain the true success you were born to have.




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7 days To Double Your Businesses Net Income

It is a sad fact that 95 % all business will not be in business in five years from their start date. It is sad because it is the stories behind the failures such as bankruptcies and marital breakdowns that we don’t hear about that make this unnecessary tragedy even worse.

This reminds me of a story of the small fly banging his head up against the clear glass window searching for freedom until the fly finally dies of exhaustion. Meanwhile had the fly moved over 5 inches to the open doorway he could have had freedom.

It is the same story with the majority of business owners in the world today. They get stuck in their own economy and then keep trying to make it work until the business is either broke or the operator is broken. Either way the result is another closed business.

These business owners are also just five inches away from a life of freedom as well but they are just unaware of it so they keep doing the same old same old. A little change in perspective and by the way no extra physical work could very well make them rich in short order.

Let me give you an example. In my business of fire and flood restoration or construction the average net income for our industry is 4.5%. So if your company does a million dollars a year in sales you will net $45,000.00. Not enough to live on in my books.

My company usually averages a little bit better than 40 % so that same million dollars in sales now makes over $400,000.00 in net sales. Now that’s a little better isn’t it? Did I mention we don’t work as hard either?

I will cover this subject in much more detail in future articles but I wanted to give you the quick version so you can start right away to at least double your net income in the next 7 days. By the way I have done this method with countless independent businesses and it always works like a charm by opening up a whole new financial world to these business people.

Many business owners when I first talk to them about doubling or tripling their net profits, start off by saying the market won’t bear them doubling or tripling their prices. Here’s the secret. You don’t have to double or triple your prices to double or triple your net.

If you are making a 5 or 10% net income you only have to raise your prices by 5 or 10 % to double your net income. If you are making $10.00 net on $100.00 you only have to raise your price to $110.00 to make $20.00 net which would double your net.

It is really easy to get an extra 10 % for your goods or services but the importance of the extra 10% can be the difference between wealth or poverty. Personally I like wealth because you can help more people. Don’t take me wrong here but you just can’t help out as much when you are poor and can’t even pay your own way.

Focus on the last 10 or twenty percent because that is where the wealth and prosperity is in your business.

I have yet to see, if done properly with the right value incentives for your customers that you can’t raise your prices by at least this amount. So get started today and you will see dramatic results by the end of the week. Remember if you focus on bigger profits that is what you will get because ‘What You Focus On Grows’.

I will be going into more detail about how to get your net income up into the stratosphere in the weeks to come so make sure you come back to our site or get on our mailing list. Your family will like it better if money is not an issue in your home. Isn’t this fun?




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Sunday, January 28, 2007

Mutual fund Information

A mutual fund is a form of collective investment that pools money from many investors and invests their money in stocks, bonds, short-term money market instruments, and/or other securities.[1] In a mutual fund, the fund manager trades the fund's underlying securities, realizing capital gains or losses, and collects the dividend or interest income. The investment proceeds are then passed along to the individual investors. The value of a share of the mutual fund, known as the net asset value per share (NAV), is calculated daily based on the total value of the fund divided by the number of shares currently issued and outstanding.

Legally known as an "open-end company" under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the primary regulatory statute governing investment companies), a mutual fund is one of three basic types of investment companies available in the United States.[2] Outside of the U.S. (with the exception of Canada, which follows the U.S. model), mutual fund is a generic term for various types of collective investment vehicle. In the U.K. and western Europe (including offshore jurisdictions), other forms of collective investment vehicle are prevalent, including unit trusts, open-ended investment companies (OEICs), SICAVs and unitized insurance funds.

In Australia the term "mutual fund" is not used; the name "managed fund" is used instead. However, "managed fund" is somewhat generic as the definition of a managed fund in Australia is any vehicle in which investors' money is managed by a third party (NB: usually an investment professional or organization). Most managed funds are open-ended (i.e., there is no established maximum number of shares that can be issued); however, this need not be the case. Additionally the Australian government introduced a compulsory superannuation/pension scheme which, although strictly speaking a managed fund, is rarely identified by this term and is instead called a "superannuation fund" because of its special tax concessions and restrictions on when money invested in it can be accessed.


[edit] History

Massachusetts Investors Trust was founded on March 21, 1924, and, after one year, had 200 shareholders and $392,000 in assets. The entire industry, which included a few closed-end funds, represented less than $10 million in 1924.

The stock market crash of 1929 slowed the growth of mutual funds. In response to the stock market crash, Congress passed the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These laws require that a fund be registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and provide prospective investors with a prospectus that contains required disclosures about the fund, the securities themselves, and fund manager. The SEC helped draft the Investment Company Act of 1940, which sets forth the guidelines with which all SEC-registered funds today must comply.

In 1951, the number of funds surpassed 100, and the number of shareholders exceeded 1 million. Only in 1954 did the stock market finally rise above its 1929 peak, and, by the end of the 1950s, there were 155 mutual funds with $15.8 billion in assets. In 1967, funds hit their best year, in one quarter earning at least 50% with an average return of 67%, but this success was achieved by cheating -- using borrowed money and risky options, and pumping up returns with privately traded "letter stock".

With renewed confidence in the stock market, mutual funds began to blossom. By the end of the 1960s, there were approximately 270 funds with $48 billion in assets. The first retail index fund, the First Index Investment Trust, was formed in 1976 and headed by John Bogle, who conceptualized many of the key tenets of the industry in his 1951 senior thesis at Princeton University[3]. It is now called the Vanguard 500 Index fund and is one of the largest mutual funds ever with in excess of $100 billion in assets.

One of the largest contributors of mutual fund growth was individual retirement account (IRA) provisions added to the Internal Revenue Code in 1975, allowing individuals (including those already in corporate pension plans) to contribute $2,000 a year. Mutual funds are now popular in employer-sponsored defined contribution retirement plans (401(k)s), IRAs and Roth IRAs.

As of April 2006, there are 8,606 mutual funds that belong to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), the national association of investment companies in the United States, with combined assets of $9.207 trillion.[4]

[edit] Usage

Mutual funds can invest in many different kinds of securities. The most common are cash, stock, and bonds, but there are hundreds of sub-categories. Stock funds, for instance, can invest primarily in the shares of a particular industry, such as technology or utilities. These are known as sector funds. Bond funds can vary according to risk (e.g., high-yield or junk bonds, investment-grade corporate bonds), type of issuers (e.g., government agencies, corporations, or municipalities), or maturity of the bonds (short- or long-term). Both stock and bond funds can invest in primarily U.S. securities (domestic funds), both U.S. and foreign securities (global funds), or primarily foreign securities (international funds).

Most mutual funds' investment portfolios are continually adjusted under the supervision of a professional manager, who forecasts the future performance of investments appropriate for the fund and chooses those which he or she believes will most closely match the fund's stated investment objective. A mutual fund is administered through a parent management company, which may hire or fire fund managers.

Mutual funds are subject to a special set of regulatory, accounting, and tax rules. Unlike most other types of business entities, they are not taxed on their income as long as they distribute substantially all of it to their shareholders. Also, the type of income they earn is often unchanged as it passes through to the shareholders. Mutual fund distributions of tax-free municipal bond income are also tax-free to the shareholder. Taxable distributions can be either ordinary income or capital gains, depending on how the fund earned those distributions.

[edit] Net asset value

Main article: net asset value

The net asset value, or NAV, is the current market value of a fund's holdings, usually expressed as a per-share amount. For most funds, the NAV is determined daily, after the close of trading on some specified financial exchange, but some funds update their NAV multiple times during the trading day. Open-end funds sell and redeem their shares at the NAV, and so process orders only after the NAV is determined. Closed-end funds (the shares of which are traded by investors) may trade at a higher or lower price than their NAV; this is known as a premium or discount, respectively. If a fund is divided into multiple classes of shares, each class will typically have its own NAV, reflecting differences in fees and expenses paid by the different classes.

Some mutual funds own securities which are not regularly traded on any formal exchange. These may be shares in very small or bankrupt companies; they may be derivatives; or they may be private investments in unregistered financial instruments (such as stock in a non-public company). In the absence of a public market for these securities, it is the responsibility of the fund manager to form an estimate of their value when computing the NAV. How much of a fund's assets may be invested in such securities is stated in the fund's prospectus.

[edit] Turnover

Turnover is a measure of the fund's securities transactions, usually calculated over a year's time, and usually expressed as a percentage of net asset value.

This value is usually calculated as the value of all transactions (buying, selling) divided by 2 divided by the fund's total holdings; i.e., the fund counts one security sold and another one bought as one "turnover". Thus turnover measures the replacement of holdings.

In Canada, under NI 81-106 (required disclosure for investment funds) turnover ratio is calculated based on the lesser of purchases or sales divided by the average size of the portfolio (including cash).

Turnover generally has tax consequences for a fund, which are passed through to investors. In particular, when selling an investment from its portfolio, a fund may realize a capital gain, which will ultimately be distributed to investors as taxable income. The very process of buying and selling securities also has its own costs, such as brokerage commissions, which are borne by the fund's shareholders.

[edit] Expenses and TER's

Mutual funds bear expenses similar to other companies. The fee structure of a mutual fund can be divided into two or three main components: management fee, nonmanagement expense, and 12b-1/non-12b-1 fees. All expenses are expressed as a percentage of the average daily net assets of the fund.


Management Fees
The management fee for the fund is usually synonymous with the contractual investment advisory fee charged for the management of a fund's investments. However, as many fund companies include administrative fees in the advisory fee component, when attempting to compare the total management expenses of different funds, it is helpful to define management fee as equal to the contractual advisory fee + the contractual administrator fee. This "levels the playing field" when comparing management fee components across multiple funds.

Contractual advisory fees may be structured as "flat-rate" fees, i.e., a single fee charged to the fund, regardless of the asset size of the fund. However, many funds have contractual fees which include breakpoints, so that as the value of a fund's assets increases, the advisory fee paid decreases. Another way in which the advisory fees remain competitive is by structuring the fee so that is based on the value of all of the assets of a group or a complex of funds rather than those of a single fund.


Nonmanagement Expenses
Apart from the management fee, there are certain nonmanagement expenses which most funds must pay. Some of the more significant (in terms of amount) nonmanagement expenses are: transfer agent expenses (this is usually the person you get on the other end of the phone line when you want to purchase/sell shares of a fund), custodian expense (the fund's assets are kept in custody by a bank which charges a custody fee), legal/audit expense, fund accounting expense, registration expense (the SEC charges a registration fee when funds file registration statements with it), board of directors/trustees expense (the disinterested members of the board who oversee the fund are usually paid a fee for their time spent at board meetings), and printing and postage expense (incurred when printing and delivering shareholder reports).


12b-1/Non-12b-1 Service Fees
12b-1 service fees/shareholder servicing fees are contractual fees which a fund may charge to cover the marketing expenses of the fund. Non-12b-1 service fees are marketing/shareholder servicing fees which do not fall under SEC rule 12b-1. While funds do not have to charge the full contractual 12b-1 fee, they often do. When investing in a front-end load or no-load fund, the 12b-1 fees for the fund are usually .250% (or 25 basis points). The 12b-1 fees for back-end and level-load share classes are usually between 50 and 75 basis points but may be as much as 100 basis points. While funds are often marketed as "no-load" funds, this does not mean they do not charge a distribution expense through a different mechanism. It is expected that a fund listed on an online brokerage site will be paying for the "shelf-space" in a different manner even if not directly through a 12b-1 fee.


Fees and Expenses Borne by the Investor (not the Fund)
Fees and expenses borne by the investor vary based on the arrangement made with the investor's broker. Sales loads (or contingent deferred sales loads (CDSL)) are not included in the fund's total expense ratio (TER) because they do not pass through the statement of operations for the fund. Additionally, funds may charge early redemption fees to discourage investors from swapping money into and out of the fund quickly, which may force the fund to make bad trades to obtain the necessary liquidity. For example, Fidelity Diversified International Fund (FDIVX) charges a 1 percent fee on money removed from the fund in less than 30 days.


Brokerage Commissions
An additional expense which does not pass through the statement of operations and cannot be controlled by the investor is brokerage commissions. Brokerage commissions are incorporated into the price of the fund and are reported usually 3 months after the fund's annual report in the statement of additional information. Brokerage commissions are directly related to portfolio turnover (portfolio turnover refers to the number of times the fund's assets are bought and sold over the course of a year). Usually the higher the rate of the portfolio turnover, the higher the brokerage commissions. The advisors of mutual fund companies are required to achieve "best execution" through brokerage arrangements so that the commissions charged to the fund will not be excessive.

[edit] Types of mutual funds

[edit] Open-end fund

The term mutual fund is the common name for an open-end investment company. Being open-ended means that, at the end of every day, the fund issues new shares to investors and buys back shares from investors wishing to leave the fund.

Mutual funds may be legally structured as corporations or business trusts but in either instance are classed as open-end investment companies by the SEC.

Other funds have a limited number of shares; these are either closed-end funds or unit investment trusts, neither of which is a mutual fund.

[edit] Exchange-traded funds

Main article: Exchange-traded fund

A relatively new innovation, the exchange traded fund (ETF), is often formulated as an open-end investment company. EFTs combine characteristics of both mutual funds and closed-end funds. An ETF usually tracks a stock index (see Index funds). Shares are issued or redeemed by institutional investors in large blocks (typically of 50,000). Investors typically purchase shares in small quantities through brokers at a small premium or discount to the net asset value; this is how the institutional investor makes its profit. Because the institutional investors handle the majority of trades, ETFs are more efficient than traditional mutual funds (which are continuously issuing new securities and redeeming old ones, keeping detailed records of such issuance and redemption transactions, and, to effect such transactions, continually buying and selling securities and maintaining liquidity position) and therefore tend to have lower expenses. ETFs are traded throughout the day on a stock exchange, just like closed-end funds.

[edit] Equity funds

Equity funds, which consist mainly of stock investments, are the most common type of mutual fund. Equity funds hold 50 percent of all amounts invested in mutual funds in the United States. [5] Often equity funds focus investments on particular strategies and certain types of issuers.

[edit] Capitalization

Some mutual funds focus investments on companies in particular size ranges, with size measured by their market capitalization. The size ranges include micro-cap, small-cap, mid-cap, and large-cap. Fund managers and other investment professionals have varying definitions of these market cap ranges. The following ranges are used by Russell Indexes: [6]

* Russell Microcap Index - micro-cap ($54.8 - 539.5 million)
* Russell 2000 Index - small-cap ($182.6 million - 1.8 billion)
* Russell Midcap Index - mid-cap ($1.8 - 13.7 billion)
* Russell 1000 Index - large-cap ($1.8 - 386.9 billion)

[edit] Growth vs. value

Another distinction made is between growth funds, which invest in stocks of companies that have the potential for large capital gains, and value funds, which concentrate on stocks that are undervalued. Growth stocks typically have the potential for a greater return; however, such investments also bear larger risks. Growth funds tend not to pay regular dividends. Sector funds focus on specific industry sectors, such as biotechnology or energy. Income funds tend to be more conservative investments, with a focus on stocks that pay dividends. A balanced fund may use a combination of strategies, typically including some level of investment in bonds, to stay more conservative when it comes to risk, yet aim for some growth.

[edit] Index funds versus active management

Main articles: Index fund and active management

An index fund maintains investments in companies that are part of major stock (or bond) indices, such as the S&P 500, while an actively managed fund attempts to outperform a relevant index through superior stock-picking techniques. The assets of an index fund are managed to closely approximate the performance of a particular published index. Since the composition of an index changes infrequently, an index fund manager makes fewer trades, on average, than does an active fund manager. For this reason, index funds generally have lower trading expenses than actively managed funds, and typically incur fewer short-term capital gains which must be passed on to shareholders. Additionally, index funds do not incur expenses to pay for selection of individual stocks (proprietary selection techniques, research, etc.) and deciding when to buy, hold or sell individual holdings. Instead, a fairly simple computer model can identify whatever changes are needed to bring the fund back into agreement with its target index.

The performance of an actively managed fund largely depends on the investment decisions of its manager. Statistically, for every investor who outperforms the market, there is one who underperforms. Among those who outperform their index before expenses, though, many end up underperforming after expenses. Before expenses, a well-run index fund should have average performance. By minimizing the impact of expenses, index funds should be able to perform better than average.

Certain empirical evidence seems to illustrate that mutual funds do not beat the market and actively managed mutual funds under-perform other broad-based portfolios with similar characteristics. [7] finds that nearly 1,500 U.S. mutual funds under-performed the market in approximately half of the years between 1962 and 1992. Moreover, funds that performed well in the past are not able to beat the market again in the future (shown by Jensen, 1968; Grimblatt and Titman, 1989.[8] However, as quantitative finance is in its early stages of development, more accurate studies are required to reach a decisive conclusion.[citation needed]

[edit] Bond funds

Bond funds account for 18% of mutual fund assets. [9] Types of bond funds include term funds, which have a fixed set of time (short-, medium-, or long-term) before they mature. Municipal bond funds generally have lower returns, but have tax advantages and lower risk. High-yield bond funds invest in corporate bonds, including high-yield or junk bonds. With the potential for high yield, these bonds also come with greater risk.

[edit] Money market funds

Money market funds hold 26% of mutual fund assets in the United States. [10] Money market funds entail the least risk, as well as lower rates of return. Unlike certificates of deposit (CDs), money market shares are liquid and redeemable at any time. The interest rate quoted by money market funds is known as the 7 Day SEC Yield.

[edit] Funds of funds

Funds of funds (FoF) are mutual funds which invest in other underlying mutual funds (i.e., they are funds comprised of other funds). The funds at the underlying level are typically funds which an investor can invest in individually. A fund of funds will typically charge a management fee which is smaller than that of a normal fund because it is considered a fee charged for asset allocation services. The fees charged at the underlying fund level do not pass through the statement of operations, but are usually disclosed in the fund's annual report, prospectus, or statement of additional information. The fund should be evaluated on the combination of the fund-level expenses and underlying fund expenses, as these both reduce the return to the investor.

Most FoFs invest in affiliated funds (i.e., mutual funds managed by the same advisor), although some invest in funds managed by other (unaffiliated) advisors. The cost associated with investing in an unaffiliated underlying fund is most often higher than investing in an affiliated underlying because of the investment management research involved in investing in fund advised by a different advisor. Recently, FoFs have be classified into those that are actively managed (in which the investment advisor reallocates frequently among the underlying funds in order to adjust to changing market conditions) and those that are passively managed (the investment advisor allocates assets on the basis of on an allocation model which is rebalanced on a regular basis).

The design of FoFs is structured in such a way as to provide a ready mix of mutual funds for investors who are unable to or unwilling to determine their own asset allocation model. Fund companies such as TIAA-CREF, Vanguard, and Fidelity have also entered this market to provide investors with these options and take the "guess work" out of selecting funds. The allocation mixes usually vary by the time the investor would like to retire: 2020, 2030, 2050, etc. The more distant the target retirement date, the more aggressive the asset mix.

[edit] Hedge funds

Main article: Hedge fund

Hedge funds in the United States are pooled investment funds with loose SEC regulation and should not be confused with mutual funds. Certain hedge funds are required to register with SEC as investment advisers under the Investment Advisers Act. [11] The Act does not require an adviser to follow or avoid any particular investment strategies, nor does it require or prohibit specific investments. Hedge funds typically charge a fee greater than 1%, plus a "performance fee" of 20% of a hedge fund's profits. There may be a "lock-up" period, during which an investor cannot cash in shares.

[edit] Mutual funds vs. other investments

Mutual funds offer several advantages over investing in individual stocks, including diversification and professional management. A mutual fund may hold investments in hundreds or thousands of stocks, thus reducing the risk associated with owing any particular stock. Moreover, the transaction costs associated with buying individual stocks are spread around among all the mutual fund shareholders. Additionally, a mutual fund benefits from professional fund managers who can apply their expertise and dedicate time to research investment options. Mutual funds, however, are not immune to risks. Mutual funds share the same risks associated with the types of investments the fund makes. If the fund invests primarily in stocks, the mutual fund is usually subject to the same ups and downs and risks as the stock market.

[edit] Selecting a mutual fund

Picking a mutual fund from among the thousands offered is not easy. Following are some guidelines:

1. Prior to investing in a tax-exempt or tax-managed fund, it is best to determine if the tax savings will offset the possibly lower returns. Additionally, these funds are inappropriate for IRAs and other tax-sheltered types of account.
2. Investors should match the term of the investment to the time period they expect to keep the investment. Money that may be needed in the short term (for example, for car repairs) should generally be in a less volatile fund, such as a money market fund. Money not needed until a retirement date decades into the future (or for a newborn's college education) can reasonably be invested in longer-term, higher-risk investments, such as stock or bond funds. Investing short-term money in volatile investments puts the investor at risk of having to sell when the market is low, thereby incurring a loss. Investing over the long term in very stable investments, on the other hand, significantly reduces potential returns.
3. Fund expenses degrade investment performance, especially over the long term. Accordingly, all other things being equal, the lower the expenses, the better. A mutual fund's expense ratio is required to be disclosed in the prospectus. Expense ratios are critical in index funds, which seek to match the performance of bond or stock index. Actively managed funds must pay the manager for the active management of the portfolio, so they usually have a higher expense ratio than (passively managed) index funds.
4. Several sector funds often make the "best fund" lists each year. However, the "best" sector varies from year to year. Most sectors are vulnerable to industry-wide events that can have a significant negative effect on performance. It is generally best to avoid making these a large part of one's portfolio.
5. Closed-end funds often sell at a discount to the value of their holdings. An investor can sometimes obtain extra return by buying such funds, but only if they are willing to hold the fund until the discount rebounds. Some hedge fund managers use this gambit. However, this also implies that buying at the original issue may be a bad idea, since the price often drops immediately because of liquidity concerns.
6. Mutual funds often make taxable distributions near the end of the year (semi-annual and quarterly distributions are also fairly common). If an investor plans to invest in a taxable fund, he or she should check the fund company's website to see when the fund plans to distribute dividends and capital gains. Investing just prior to the distribution results in part of one's investment being returned as taxable income without increasing the value of the account.
7. Prospective investors in mutual funds should read the prospectus. The prospectus is required by law to disclose the risks will be taken with investors' money, among other vital topics. Potential investors should also compare the return and risk profile of a fund against its peers with similar investment objectives and against the index most closely associated with it, paying particular attention to performance over both the long term and the short term. A fund that gained 50% over a 1-year period (an impressive result) but only 10% over a 5-year period should create some suspicion, as that would imply that the returns in four out of those five years were actually very low (possibly even negative (i.e., losses)), as 10% compounded over 5 years is only 61%.
8. Diversification can reduce risk. Depending on an investor's risk tolerance and his or her investment horizon, it may be advisable to hold some stocks, some bonds, and some cash. For longer-term investments, it is advisable to invest in some foreign stocks. If all of an investor's mutual funds belong to the same family of funds, the investor's total portfolio might not be as diversified as it might seem. This is so because funds within the same family may share research and recommendations. The same is true for investors who own multiple funds with the same profile or investment strategy; their returns will likely be similar. Holding too large a number of funds, on the other hand, will tend to produce the same effect as holding an index fund, but with higher expenses. Buying individual stocks exposes investors to company-specific and industry-specific risks, and if investors buy a large number of stocks, the commissions may cost more than a fund would.

[edit] Share classes

Many mutual funds offer more than one class of shares. For example, you may have seen a fund that offers "Class A" and "Class B" shares. Each class will invest in the same "pool" (or investment portfolio) of securities and will have the same investment objectives and policies. But each class will have different shareholder services and/or distribution arrangements with different fees and expenses. These differences are supposed to reflect different costs involved in servicing investors in various classes; for example, one class may be sold through brokers with a front-end load, and another class may be sold direct to the public with no load but a "12b-1 fee" included in the class's expenses (sometimes referred to as "Class C" shares). Still a third class might have a minimum investment of $10,000,000 and be available only to financial institutions (a so-called "institutional" share class). In some cases, by aggregating regular investments made by many individuals, a retirement plan (such as a 401(k) plan) may qualify to purchase "institutional" shares (and gain the benefit of their typically lower expense ratios) even though no members of the plan would qualify individually. [12]As a result, each class will likely have different performance results. [13]

A multi-class structure offers investors the ability to select a fee and expense structure that is most appropriate for their investment goals (including the length of time that they expect to remain invested in the fund). [13]

[edit] Load and expenses

Main article: Mutual fund fees and expenses

A front-end load or sales charge is a commission paid to a broker by a mutual fund when shares are purchased, taken as a percentage of funds invested. The value of the investment is reduced by the amount of the load. Some funds have a deferred sales charge or back-end load. In this type of fund an investor pays no sales charge when purchasing shares, but will pay a commission out of the proceeds when shares are redeemed depending on how long they are held. Another derivative structure is a level-load fund, in which no sales charge is paid when buying the fund, but a back-end load may be charged if the shares purchased are sold within a year.

Load funds are sold through financial intermediaries such as brokers, financial planners, and other types of registered representatives who charge a commission for their services. Shares of front-end load funds are frequently eligible for breakpoints (i.e., a reduction in the commission paid) based on a number of variables. These include other accounts in the same fund family held by the investor or various family members, or committing to buy more of the fund within a set period of time in return for a lower commission "today".

It is possible to buy many mutual funds without paying a sales charge. These are called no-load funds. In addition to being available from the fund company itself, no-load funds may be sold by some discount brokers for a flat transaction fee or even no fee at all. (This does not necessarily mean that the broker is not compensated for the transaction; in such cases, the fund may pay brokers' commissions out of "distribution and marketing" expenses rather than a specific sales charge. The purchaser is therefore paying the fee indirectly through the fund's expenses deducted from profits.)

No-load funds include both index funds and actively managed funds. The largest mutual fund families selling no-load index funds are Vanguard and Fidelity, though there are a number of smaller mutual fund families with no-load funds as well. Expense ratios in some no-load index funds are less than 0.2% per year versus the typical actively managed fund's expense ratio of about 1.5% per year. Load funds usually have even higher expense ratios when the load is considered. The expense ratio is the anticipated annual cost to the investor of holding shares of the fund. For example, on a $100,000 investment, an expense ratio of 0.2% means $200 of annual expense, while a 1.5% expense ratio would result in $1,500 of annual expense. These expenses are before any sales commissions paid to purchase the mutual fund.

Many fee-only financial advisors strongly suggest no-load funds such as index funds. If the advisor is not of the fee-only type but is instead compensated by commissions, the advisor may have a conflict of interest in selling high-commission load funds.

[edit] Criticism of managed mutual funds

Historically, actively managed mutual funds, over long periods of time, have not returned as much as comparable index mutual funds. This, of course, is a criticism of one type of mutual fund over another.

Another criticism concerns sales commissions on load funds, an upfront or deferred fee as high as 8.5 percent of the amount invested in a fund. No-load funds typically charge a 12b-1 fee in order to pay for shelf space on the exchange the investor uses for purchase of the fund, but they do not pay a load directly to a mutual fund broker. Critics point out that high sales commissions represent a conflict of interest, as high commissions benefit the sales people but hurt the investors. High commissions can also cause sales people to recommend funds that maximize their income. Again, this is a criticism of one type of mutual fund over another.

Mutual funds are also seen by some to have a conflict of interest with regard to their size. Fund companies charge a management fee of anywhere between 0.5 percent and 2.5 percent of the fund's total assets. Theoretically, this should motivate the fund managers, since a well performing fund will cause the amount invested in the fund to rise and increasing the fee earned. It also could motivate the fund company to focus on advertising to attract more and more new investors, as new investors would also cause the fund assets to increase.

Many analysts, however, believe that the larger the pool of money one works with, the harder it is to manage actively, and the harder it is to squeeze good performance out of it. Thus a fund company can be focused on attracting new customers, thereby hurting its existing investors' performance. A great deal of a fund's costs are flat and fixed costs, such as the salary for the manager. Thus it can be more profitable for the fund to try to allow it to grow as large as possible, instead of limiting its assets. Some fund companies, notably the Vanguard Group and Fidelity, have closed some funds to new investors to maintain the integrity of the funds for existing investors.

Other critisicms of mutual funds are that some funds allow market timing (although many fund companies tightly control this) and that some fund managers accept extravagant gifts in exchange for trading stocks through certain investment banks, which presumably charge the fund more for transactions than would non-gifting investment bank. As a result, many fund companies strictly limit -- or completely bar -- such gifts.

[edit] Scandals

In September 2003, the United States mutual fund industry was beset by a scandal in which major fund companies permitted and facilitated "late trading" and "market timing". See: Mutual-fund scandal (2003)




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Yen suffers broadly, hits 8-year low vs sterling

TOKYO - The yen slumped to an eight-year low against the pound on Tuesday and held near a four-year low versus the dollar as investors shunned the low-yielding currency after the Bank of Japan kept rates on hold last week.

With Japan's rates already near zero and doubts brewing about whether the BOJ will be able to raise rates in February, the yen kept struggling against higher-yielding rivals.

"There's not a lot of factors to trade on this week, so it looks like the focus is going to stay on rate differentials," said Takehiko Jimbo, a foreign exchange manager at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking.

The yen has been clobbered since the BOJ left the overnight call rate at 0.25 percent last Thursday, which raised questions about the influence of government pressure against a move and convinced market players that rates will stay low for a while.

The minutes of the BOJ's December meeting released on Tuesday revealed some of the political pressure, with a Cabinet Office official saying at the gathering that more attention should be paid to the economy's downside risks.

The yen stayed close to a decade-low against the Australian dollar and a one-year trough against the New Zealand dollar as investors were keen to use the yen to fund purchases of higher-yielding currencies in what is known as the carry trade.

Sterling climbed to around 240.85 yen , its highest since August 1998 according to Reuters calculated levels. A rise above 241 yen would be a 14-year high.

The pound has rallied ever since the Bank of England surprised markets with a rate increase to 5.25 percent earlier this month.

Sterling climbed to $1.9785 , approaching a 14-year high of $1.9849 struck in December. The euro fell to a four-year low of 65.36 pence , the weakest since February 2003.

The dollar edged up to 121.70 yen , closing in on the 121.80 yen hit in New York for the first time since March 2003.

The U.S. currency has been boosted after a string of economic data last week bolstered views that the Federal Reserve was unlikely to trim interest rates from 5.25 percent any time soon.

The euro stood at $1.2940 , dipping slightly on the day. Against the yen, the euro was little changed near 157.50 yen but within range of a record high of 158.06 yen struck in early January.

MORE YEN WEAKNESS

Carry trades have played a major role in pummelling the yen as investors take advantage of rock-bottom rates in Japan to fund investments in higher-yielding currencies and other assets.

The overall carry trade trend is expected to remain intact given that Japanese rates were likely to lag those of rival currencies for some time to come.

"The pace of carry trades might drop off a bit, but by no means are they going to stop," said a dealer at a U.S. brokerage.

Trading was relatively subdued with no major economic data due on Tuesday. Market participants were sitting tight for U.S. housing data later in the week to confirm that the housing market has overcome a soft patch.

The focus will also be on Germany's Ifo survey of business sentiment for January, due on Thursday, which could add to expectations for a rate rise by the European Central Bank in March.

On Friday, Japanese consumer price figures for December will be released. Any sign of a slowdown in the tepid 0.2 percent rise year-over-year in core CPI could stir expectations for the BOJ to stand pat on policy next month.




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Pound at 7-week highs vs dollar as market awaits BoE minutes on Weds

LONDON - The pound reached seven-week highs against the dollar in late afternoon trade in London as the currency continued to benefit from expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates at least once more.

The central bank's surprise rate hike to 5.25 pct earlier this month, followed by last week's very strong inflation data have led the market to price in a further two rate hikes, with a back-to-back rise next month looking increasingly likely.

'Expectations of firm BoE policy in the months ahead continue to support the pound against the dollar and crosses,' said Jamie Coleman at Thomson IFR Markets, though he noted that the currency faces resistance ahead of the 1.98 usd mark.

The market will therefore be paying close attention to Wednesday's release of the minutes to the BoE Monetary Policy Committee meeting this month. Fourth quarter GDP figures on the same day are also expected to show consumer spending giving a sizeable boost to economic growth.

The pound reached a high of 1.9786 against the dollar this afternoon, approaching its highest level since early December last year, when it hit multi-year highs of 1.9850 usd. Against the euro, the pound also reached a two and a half year high as the single currency hit a low of 1.6542 stg.

Crucially, another quarter point rise in the Bank of England base rate would take UK interest rates back above the US Fed Funds rate for the first time since January last year.

Meanwhile, the yen remained weak across the board after last week's decision by the BoJ not to raise interest rates intensified speculation the central bank bowed to political pressure.

The dollar has risen further against the yen, reaching a day high of 121.79, its highest level since December, 2002, while the pound rose above the 240 yen mark for the first time since August, 1998.

An increasing conviction in the market that Japanese interest rates will remain low for some time has effectively given the green light for the carry trade -- when investors borrowing in low-yielding currencies in order to invest in higher yielding assets elsewhere -- to continue.

'With talk in the Kyodo news today that the BoJ will struggle to raise rates in the first quarter, it seems likely that this speculation will continue to rise and, with it, fresh downward pressure on the yen,' said Neil Mellor at the Bank of New York (nyse: BK - news - people ).

Tomorrow's publication of the minutes to the meeting is unlikely to alter sentiment either. Though the minutes are likely to mention the economy is slowly recovering, they are likely to note economic indicators, such as consumer spending and consumer prices, were weak.




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Another decisive short week

The equity market pulled up its socks on the last trading day of the January series contracts on Thursday and ended in the green. Till Wednesday, the spot Nifty was trading flat to last Friday’s close, after gaining in one trading session and losing in the other.

However, on the triple witching day, Thursday, the market was trading nervous for most part of the trading session. It was the final pull in the last 15-odd minutes by the bulls that boosted the spot Nifty, which closed at its all-time high level of 4148.

If developments in the F&O segment are any indication of the shape of things in the equity market, there is a big question mark on the buying momentum. The rollover to the February series has been good and there was an unusual build-up of over 1.5% net long positions on Thursday.

These are positive signs. But on the other hand, the February Nifty ended at a 19-point discount to the spot. Historically, discounts to the spot Nifty are regarded as weak signals for the market. However, it is too early to comment at this point in time, partly since it’s a long weekend. Further, the next week is also a short week. And the market doesn’t like being disturbed. So, players may like to play safe.

Having said that, let’s look at your open positions. From the table, ‘The Power Of Money’, it appears that you are making a lot of profit. During the January series, you have cumulatively made Rs 2,07,000. This is a cool 20% plus return on your margin investment, including MTMs and brokerage charges.

The common advice when you make some profit is to book it. And the common mistake is to not book any profit. You currently own long positions in Nifty, Reliance Capital, Sesa Goa and IDFC. Book profits on Monday at open on all the counters, except Reliance Capital, which is still in the red and Sesa Goa. If you own two contracts, book at least 50%. If you hold one contract, book 100%. But we continue to advise that continuing to stay long on Nifty will pay you more often than not.


In case you want to keep your Nifty position open, considering the run-up to the Budget, when the market has more or less closed positive, you may opt to cover it by buying a Nifty 4100 put, hedging your risks. The Nifty February 4100 put is available at Rs 87. If the market opens up on Monday, this will be a lot cheaper.

As far as stock-specific strategy for the coming week is concerned, let’s stick to basics. It’s too early to get a trend for the broad Nifty. So, it’s more difficult to make a call on stock positions. It’s a better idea to protect your profits on the open positions in Sesa Goa by selling the future, since puts are hardly traded on this counter.

Or you can book 50% profit on this counter, bringing the average purchase price down. The second strategy seems to be a better idea at this point in time. There is an essence of bullishness regarding bidding of stake by Arcelor Mittal and others. ET reported that bids are in the range of around Rs 2,500 per share. This gives a further upside to the stock.




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Wednesday, January 24, 2007

What's Wrong With American Companies?

It's no secret that international stocks have outperformed their American counterparts over the past five years. Indeed, the MSCI EAFE index has outperformed the S&P 500 by more than eight percentage points per year over the past five years.

While traditionally strong American large caps such as General Electric (NYSE: GE), Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT), and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) have struggled to break even over this period, international juggernauts such as Manulife Financial (NYSE: MFC), Toyota (NYSE: TM) and Allied Irish Banks (NYSE: AIB) have doubled.

A new world order
These aren't isolated events, either. A recent issue of Forbes listed its "2,000 Biggest Companies in the World" and found that, of the stocks in their study, "foreign stocks delivered many of the best short- and long-term stock market values." For instance:

Although U.S.-based Ultra Petroleum and Chico's were among the top stocks in the study, the rest of the list is dominated by companies hailing from different regions of the world.

Foolish bottom line
You'd be wrong to think these results were out of the ordinary. The United States, and the rest of the developed world for that matter, no longer has a stranglehold on the global economy. This isn't to say there isn't more growth to be found in developed markets, but the rest of the world has been catching up. Rapidly. A recent survey by The Economist shows that emerging-market economies now make up more than half of the world's GDP, and they have an estimated GDP growth rate of 7%, compared to projected 3% GDP growth in developed economies. With this type of growth, it can be reasonably deduced that there are some great investing profits to be had outside the United States.

Caveat emptor
Despite the great growth opportunities to be found abroad, international stocks can be challenging to research. Indeed, added political and economic risks are just two things that make them different from good ol' U.S. blue chips.

But the growth potential and diversification benefits international stocks have to offer are just too good to ignore. That's why we created Motley Fool Global Gains, a new international investing service headed by Fool senior analyst Bill Mann.

If you're interested in taking advantage of the benefits of international investing, consider a 30-day free trial of Global Gains. Even if you just want to take a peek at the Global Gains team's inaugural picks, it's definitely worth your while.




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Tuesday, January 16, 2007

China may let yuan rise as forex reserves top $1trn

HONG KONG: China’s foreign-exchange reserves, the world’s largest, topped $1 trillion for the first time, adding pressure on the government to let the yuan gain faster.

Currency assets, excluding gold climbed 30% from a year earlier to $1.07 trillion at December 31, the People’s Bank of China said on its website on Monday, confirming past statements by government officials.

A record trade surplus that flooded the economy with cash, helping stocks to more than double last year, is making it harder for Premier Wen Jiabao to cool an investment boom. A stronger yuan may help rein in lending and defuse US and European complaints that China is keeping the currency artificially weak to spur exports. “Swelling reserves raise the risk of inflation, asset bubbles and a rebound in investment,” said Wang Qing, an economist at Bank of America in Hong Kong. “Yuan appreciation has to be one of the solutions,” he said.

China’s reserves climbed from $988 billion at the end of September and $819 billion at the end of 2005. The amount is more than double the $408.5 billion estimated by the Asian Development Bank as needed for the country to guard against external shocks.

To slow investment and lending, China raised interest rates twice last year and on January 5 ordered banks to set aside more money as reserves for the fourth time in seven months. The nation has also allowed the yuan to strengthen. China ended a peg to the US dollar in July 2005, revalued the yuan by 2.1% and allowed it to trade against a basket of currencies.

The yuan rose 3.4% versus the dollar last year. By comparison, the Thai baht jumped 15.7% and the South Korean won rose 8.6%.

The central bank’s announcement on currency reserves is less than a week after China’s stock market capitalisation exceeded $1 trillion for the first time, underscoring the growing might of an economy that has expanded 10-fold since it was opened to international investment in 1978.

China’s foreign reserves rose to $1.01 trillion in October, according to the central bank, which releases the data quarterly. By year’s end, a further $56.7 billion of reserves were added.

In November, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange declined to confirm a China Central Television report that the reserves had exceeded $1 trillion. China keeps about two-thirds of the reserves in dollars and is the second-largest owner of US treasuries after Japan, holding $344.9 billion in October. Concern that a weakening dollar may erode the value of the holding is encouraging China to diversify and central bank Deputy Governor Wu Xiaoling said in November that the bank had been buying yen.

“Accumulating foreign exchange reserves is a cushion, but it can be costly,” Masahiro Kawai, head of the Asia Development Banks’s Office of Regional Economic Integration, said last month, forecasting a slow continuous depreciation of the US dollar.

China’s US treasury holdings benefit the US by pushing down interest rates on both government debt and mortgages, according to Enzio von Pfeil, chief executive at Commercial Economics Asia in Hong Kong, adding that China will remain reliant on the US bond market.

“There is no market with as much debt and sophistication as the US,” he said. “Europe and Japan? It’s like the pond compared to the ocean.”

Still, the trade deficit is a point of contention between the two nations. US Treasury Secretary Henry M Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben S Bernanke visited Beijing last year to discuss ways to reduce America’s deficit with China, which was $144.3 billion last year. Paulson said China agreed to make its currency more flexible.

The nation’s overall trade surplus swelled 74% to a record $177.5 billion in 2006 as exports surged. China’s economy grew 10.4% in the third quarter from a year earlier, slowing from a decade-high expansion in the previous three months. The central bank raised interest rates and bank reserve ratios and is also selling treasury bills to soak up money and curb investment that could leave China with idle factories, rising bad loans and accelerating inflation.

The government relaxed currency controls and eased rules on companies and individuals investing abroad in 2006. The amount of foreign currency that individuals can buy is doubling to $50,000 a year from February 1.

“The reserve will grow by another $20 billion this year and possibly next year,” said Ma Jun, an economist with Deutsche Bank in Hong Kong. China will continue incentives to spur domestic consumption, while discouraging low-end exports and allowing the yuan to rise further. The yuan will climb to 7.46 per dollar by the end of 2007, according to the median estimate of 28 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That’s an advance of 4.5%.




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Forex trade Calculator 1.11

Forex Trade Calculator is used to calculate a current profit/loss of open positions, using real-time quotes and to calculate profit/loss after "partial closing" or "reversing" positions.
Minimized panel places Always on top and show current profit/loss pips and current quotations in real time mode.
Without registration only EUR/USD and USD/JPY currency pair available.

More Here




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Monday, January 15, 2007

Forex Guide: Things That Every Beginner Traders Should Know Before They Start Trading in Forex

It’s a fact that forex trading became a highly preferable investment method in the last decade. Combined with the internet as a global 24/7 network forex is reachable to everyone. I’ll not give you about the basic explanation of forex trading in this article. I’m sure that i don’t have to tell what forex trading is. People which familiar or have an interest in an investment know forex already. Don’t they?

Forex trading is basically just an investment

As any other investment, there are always benefits and risks beyond forex trading. Many people/organization, especially forex brokers, its affiliate and those who earn their income by providing some forex related services says that forex trading have so much advantages compared to other investments; Forex is easy, with its non-stop 24 hours market, its wide range adjustable leverage, its automated trading platform, its offered better opportunity for income resource, and many more — you name it as much as you want to…

Blinded by its ‘beautiful dream imagination’, many small/personal traders, especially for the new ones forgot that forex trading is basically still an investment program. Traders should never have a thought that forex trading is an income resource.

Common Beginner Traders Scenario

Beginner forex traders are usually follow the trend of forex trading without preparing and providing them self with an adequate understanding about what’s inside forex trading. Their common scenarios are:

1. Know about forex trading
2. Have an interest in forex trading
3. Looking for an easy and profitable forex services
(Usually by looking for some services with less margin, high leverage, automated trading platform, and less risk? - which is too good to be true)
4. Start gambling with their trades
5. Unable to achieve profits as what their imagination
6. Repeating scenarios 3, 4 and 5
7. Repeating scenarios 3, 4 and 5 again… and again…
8. Realizing that they are loosing too much or that their imagination along these days/weeks/months is wrong (i doubt that it would reach years)
9. Give up and quit their trading for good.

Where did they do wrong in above scenario? Is that wrong to always searching for a better service to back up our trade? In my point of view, there are no mistakes in that scenario at all. But it’s just incomplete, and that’s the most dangerous mistakes made by most beginner traders.

How to Overcome Traders Mistakes and Begin to Make Some Profits in Forex

The facts are, there are just 5% of forex traders which successes with their trading. To become as they are, we should insert step 2.5 in scenario above. This step will simplify above scenarios by eliminating the fourth and eighth and changing ninth step became TRADERS GOAL ACHIEVED.

2.5 Preparing yourself with a solid basic knowledge of forex trading

- Know about the fundamental of forex trading

- Learn about what and how forex market really is

- Train yourself to getting familiar with the technical analysis in forex trading

- Learn how psychological factor affecting in the trading and define our best trading personality

- Be aware in our risk and money management

- Develop your most effective unique trading system based on your knowledge.

We should keep in mind deeply that forex trading is an investment. There is no way that we could be a master in some investment that we’ve just dive in to for days or weeks. We have to do it by the right way, and don’t forget to eliminate your rush in the goal achievement. You will surely find your best trading system that suits you, I guarantee that. But it would cost you some time for several trial and error system testing while you developing your experience in forex trading.

By using an analogical approach as a computer, forex broker is the application programs and operating system. We do need them to make sure that all we need its done, served and executed properly. But, how good the computerization execution speed and its performance are depends on the basic computer specification, which analogically as you.

How to Get Yourself Completely Forex Prepared

Learning and education materials are world widely spreading around us.

1. The first and the most value added a resource of forex trading is through book reading. Forex and investing categorized books are availabe in countless numbers in many bookstore and online bookstore. You should pick some of them to educate yourself with valuable knowledge of the theory beyond forex trading.

2. Try to get into some traders forum to know more about forex trading and the markets. Forex forum also a place to give you an information for forecasting the crowd psychological factor to forecast the currency price movement by examining on how do other traders react in some financial forex related world events.

3. Get a forex course. An expert forex traders or forex broker are offering this kind of forex educational method. The course are usually about the basic knowledge of forex, technical analysis technique usage and its tools, an expert trading advice or maybe in how to develop a particular tested forex trading system which profitable (if done right and backed by your forex basic knowledge).

4. Forex magazine subscription. Some forex magazines are published weekly, monthly and others might be yearly. These materials usually give you information about the updated forex market behavior overview and analysis which can be use for the input of the fundamental analysis of your forex trading.




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China's forex reserves hit $1.3 trillion

China's foreign exchange reserves, already the world's largest, have passed $US1 trillion ($A1.3 trillion), the government announced, amid debate over how the country should use its newfound wealth.

The central bank said its reserves stood at $US1.0663 trillion ($A1.36 trillion) at the end of December, up more than 30 per cent from one year earlier, making this the first country officially to top the $US1 trillion ($A1.3 trillion) mark.

China passed Japan in early 2006 as the nation with the biggest foreign reserves as Beijing drained money from its economy, stockpiling much of it in US Treasuries in an effort to prevent a spike in inflation as export revenues surged in.

The figure announced Monday by the People's Bank of China was slightly below estimates by outside experts, who forecast that the reserves would surpass $US1.1 trillion ($A1.4 trillion) by the end of 2006.

That mountain of money is equal to about 40 per cent of China's annual economic output. Japan's reserves stood at $US875 billion ($A1.12 trillion) at the end of December.

The composition of China's reserves is secret, but economists believe about 70 per cent is in US Treasuries, much of the rest in euros and a small amount in yen.

Purchases of assets in other currencies are believed to be growing as the bank diversifies its holdings.

Economist Stephen Green at Standard Chartered Bank in Shanghai said in a report last week that the central bank made an estimated $US29 billion ($A37 billion) profit last year due to its foreign reserves even after paying interest on its own bonds and other expenses.

The central bank has been buying up tens of billions of dollars worth of currency every month in order to keep the flood of money from China's trade surplus, which reached a record $US177.5 billion ($A226.7 billion) last year, from igniting inflation.

Beijing has begun easing currency controls in an effort to reduce such strains.

Economists are debating how China's reserves might be put to use to address pressing needs.

Some have suggested that Beijing use the money to buy oil and other resources abroad for China's booming economy. Others say it could pay for more schools and social programs.




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Japan's commodities brokers clean up their acts

TOKYO - Japan's ailing commodities brokerages are facing a major reshuffle, with many forced to slash jobs, sell out or even close down in response to thinning trade and new competitors.

While the rest of the world is seeing a commodities trading bonanza, Japan's exchanges are struggling to mend their battered image by improving transparency and investor protection.

Brokerages are still recovering from a double blow in 2005 when fees were deregulated, hurting their income, and a law was introduced to curb perceived high-pressure sales techniques.

The revised rules have also encouraged new players, such as foreign investors and securities firms, to enter the market.

"In this business climate, it's tough to continue the conventional commodities business," said a senior official of a Japanese brokerage.

"Many are looking for ways to rationalise, while some are looking to sell their companies and some are even considering quitting their business," he said.

The 2005 law clamped down on certain sales techniques, asked for clearer separation between the accounts of customers and brokerages and forced brokerages to deposit clients' margin funds with a clearing house.

This meant that brokerages had to increase their cash positions to boost volumes when they wanted to trade on their own account, which in turn discouraged many smaller market players.

The resulting decline in turnover unleashed a wave of consolidation among commodities exchanges -- there are now four, compared to seven at the start of 2006 and 16 in 1989.

UNSTOPPABLE TREND

"You really cannot stop this trend of reorganization, especially after the law," said Akio Shibata, deputy director at Marubeni Research Institute.

Turnover fell below 100 million contracts in 2006 for the first time in seven years, according to the Japan Federation of Commodity Exchanges, and was down 18 percent year-on-year at 92.7 million contracts.

Despite the law's impact on the industry, many said it had been a necessary change.

"In the past, Japanese commodities markets were not fully equipped with rules to protect investors," Toshinori Ito, a senior analyst at UBS Securities Japan.

"The new law enhanced investor protection, but at the same time, it created a greater burden for brokerages who were required to make a contribution to support the measure," Ito said. "Some cannot bear this kind of additional cost, and are forced to leave the market."

The number of commodity firms has dwindled to 80 at the start of this year from 86 last April and 96 in April 2005, just before the law was implemented, according to data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry.

There were about 125 companies in 1996.

NEWCOMERS

"We are seeing a lot of rationalization," said a senior official at the ministry. "This is the trend now and this is a necessary move."

But he said greater transparency and better investor protection had also attracted new entrants.

"We are seeing many foreign institutions and financial institutions entering the business. The trend is there and we welcome this move," the official said.

Faced with such new competition, many brokerages are opting for mergers. The sector has seen several tie-up projects over the past few weeks, and more are expected.

Japan's leading commodities trading adviser, Astmax Co. Ltd <8734.Q>, is in talks to buy up shares of Mitsui Bussan Futures Ltd., a subsidiary of Japan's No. 2 trading house, Mitsui & Co. Ltd. <8031.T>.

Both companies were aiming to clinch a deal by Monday.

Separately, Himawari CX, a subsidiary of Himawari Holdings Inc <8738.Q>, will merge its conventional retail brokerage business with another Japanese brokerage, USS Securities Co. Ltd., from April 1.

And another commodities firm, Hokushin Shohin Co. Ltd., will transfer its online trading and retail businesses to its parent company Hoxsin Bussan Co. Ltd. by March 19 to improve efficiency and to strengthen its financial base.




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Euro firms as dollar rally fades

LONDON - The euro moved off last week's 1-1/2 month lows against the dollar on Monday, as a dollar rally on stronger than expected U.S. data gave way to consolidation and volumes thinned by a U.S. public holiday.

The yen weakened against the euro and held near a 13-month low against the dollar despite growing expectations the Bank of Japan will lift interest rates this week. A quarter point move would take rates to 0.5 percent, still leaving the yen under pressure as a low-yielding currency.

Strong data releases on the U.S. economy, including jobs and retail sales numbers, have dampened expectations of a near-term interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

In contrast, European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled last Thursday that the ECB would wait till March before raising rates from the current 3.5 percent, disappointing those who had banked on a February move but still sounding a robust note on the health of the euro area economy.

"After such dramatic moves in the last week and the week before, the market is just consolidating. It will probably track sideways until the U.S. producer price index data on Wednesday and consumer prices on Thursday which could give a bit more dollar direction," Westpac currency strategist Geoff Kendrick said.

By 1526 GMT, the euro was up 0.1 percent on the day at $1.2936 , rebounding from a 1-1/2-month low of $1.2864 hit on Friday. The single European currency has lost around 2 percent against the greenback so far this year.

Sterling extended gains started after the Bank of England surprised markets with a rate rise last week, hitting a 2-1/2 year high versus the euro and an eight-year peak against the yen . It was up 0.3 percent at $1.9640 , its strongest in more than a week.

The dollar stood at 120.46 yen , off Friday's 13-month peak of 120.74 yen. The euro rose to 155.87 yen , up a third of a percent on the day.

BOJ AWAITED

Investors believe the BOJ is likely to raise overnight rates to 0.5 percent, which would be the highest since 1995, despite warnings from some officials that the central bank should wait to support recovery from deflation.

"We expect the Bank of Japan to raise rates this week despite broad opposition by government officials, because failure to do so will trigger renewed downward pressure on the Japanese currency and provoke a new wave of yen carry trades," Ashraf Laidi, chief FX analyst at CMC Markets in New York said in a note to clients.

"Last week's rate hike from the Bank of England, expectations of further tightening from the European Central Bank ... are all conspiring to produce further yen selling against high yielding currencies," he added.

Japan's vice finance minister Hideto Fujii said on Monday he hoped the BOJ would support steady economic growth through its monetary policy.

A Reuters survey on Monday showed most market players expect the BOJ -- which raised interest rates for the first time in six years last July -- to raise them again at its two-day policy meeting which will end on Thursday.

But even a BOJ rate rise would not erode the huge yield advantage of other major currencies, with both U.S. and British short-term rates at 5.25 percent and Japan's central bank seen moving slowly on any further policy tightening.

Japanese data on Monday showed core machinery orders rose by a better-than-expected 3.8 percent on the month in November, reinforcing market expectations for a BOJ rate rise.

Japanese newspapers reported at the weekend the BOJ was likely to lift rates this week, viewing the economy as strong enough to withstand a rate rise and believing consumer spending will stay on a rising trend.




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Saturday, January 13, 2007

FOREXYARD: Daily Forex Analysis

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